Why is Čović's province loyal to Russia, not NATO?

Dragan Čović met with the Russian Ambassador to BiH, Petar Ivancov, four days ago and then made a paradoxical statement that socio-economic development and dialogue are key to achieving success in BiH's integration into the EU and NATO. The Russian ambassador added that he "will continue to advocate for a sovereign and developed BiH, a country of all three constituent peoples, as well as for the improvement of existing economic and political cooperation." This was something we had not seen or heard from the same actors before. What lies behind these paradoxical positions, we have not yet learned from our numerous media thinkers.

The current Russian ambassador, Ivancov, has shown little to no goodwill towards political Sarajevo, unlike towards Dodik and Čović. In recent years, good relations between the Russian Federation and the Republic of Croatia have been evident. Is the constant and unambiguous support of Russian Ambassador Peter Ivancov for Dragan Čović and HDZ BiH probably the main line of Russian policy towards BiH? After signing the ANP, what can Ivancov think of Dodik today, and then of his main political ally, Dragan Čović?

So far, Ivancov has acted only rationally politically towards these two, relying on some historical connections and facts. This is, unfortunately, just another of the many atavistic policies that plague Bosnia and Herzegovina. HDZ, above all, was created as a response of the Croatian diaspora to the idea of an independent state of Croats. Franjo Tuđman relied heavily on the support of Croatian emigrants in creating the state. Tuđman's Croatia, in the nineties, relied economically on cooperation with Russia, and businessmen who had good business ties with this superpower most often entered the government. This was the case until recently, when the Agrokor affair broke out and when this megacorporation was evidently saved by loans from the powerful Russian Sberbank, amounting to as much as one billion and 200 million euros. Of course, such a loan could not have been made without state approval, nor without great geostrategic interest.

The European Union and the US are confused by the unusually strong political, economic, and other ties of the Republic of Croatia with the Russian Federation. Few know that there is a deeper historical background to these relations? As we said, this is especially unknown to local politicians and, unfortunately, political analysts. The fact is that the Russian political leadership supported the first agreements between Tuđman and Milošević in the autumn of 1990. After the war, which "sifted" and bloodily divided Serbs and Croats within their two states, Bosnia and Herzegovina found itself as a place of unity for these two great-state ideologues. Russian policy often and uncritically supported the policies of Tuđman and Milošević towards BiH. Similarly, for a long time, His Excellency Russian Ambassador Peter Ivancov uncritically supported the positions of Dragan Čović and Milorad Dodik, even when they openly acted against their state of Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Serbs and Russians are bound by a long historical friendship. The ties between Russians and Croats are newer, but equally strong and date back about forty years. Historian Prof. Dr. Tvrtko Jakovina discovered in the archives of the former Yugoslav Minister of Foreign Affairs, Josip Vrhovac, a document from 1980 about the meeting between Budimir Lončar, Yugoslavia's ambassador to the US, and Zbigniew Brzezinski, advisor to US President Jimmy Carter, which proves the claims that in the 70s and 80s of the last century, the Soviet Union, led by Leonid Brezhnev, secretly supported the Croatian political emigration in the West in the fight against Yugoslavia.

This document contains Lončar's observations: "Brzezinski was well-informed about the issue. Personally unwilling to yield to Moscow, he confirmed that the thesis that 'the activity of extreme emigration most benefits Soviet intentions' is correct." Lončar then conveys: "In strict confidence, Brzezinski tells me that they have discovered that Soviet services are involved, even financially, in the activities of Yugoslav extreme emigration. They have irrefutable evidence that Soviet services support and encourage the activity of Ustasha emigrant groups in Germany and Austria.

This is now being investigated in the US. They have discussed this on several occasions in the National Security Council as part of shaping relations with Yugoslavia." ... This was written without hesitation even in the United States in the emigrant newspaper "Hrvatska borba," which was published in Washington.

The Croatian Revolutionary Brotherhood from Australia, at the height of this upheaval in emigration, in the early seventies, put up posters: "Better a Soviet Croatia than an American Yugoslavia." Dr. Branimir Branko Jelić was one of the most respected and powerful Croatian politicians in emigration. Dr. Jelić, president of the Croatian National Council (HNO), openly stated that Croats were betrayed by Western policy, which had classified them as collaborators of Nazism and fascism. He then made a shocking turn for the Croatian emigration towards Soviet Russia. According to serious researchers, Dr. Jelić offered an island in the Adriatic (according to information, Krk) and the Mostar airport (opened in 1965) for military presence and missile system installations to Leonid Brezhnev, the General Secretary of the CPSU, in a letter, if they would liberate Croatia from Josip Broz's regime.

It was a rather risky attempt at new connections. Jelić gave a series of speeches at these emigrant gatherings, in which there were no more anti-communist outbursts. Even these gatherings were called "plenums," and the new allies were called "our Soviet brothers."

Večernji list, on November 20, 2011, presented the reasons for Jelić's 'Russian risk': "The Soviets were not the only ones seeking space in Yugoslav conflicts. Parts of the Croatian emigration also became active, sometimes on their own initiative, and sometimes at the behest of various intelligence services. Dragutin Haramija, president of the then Government of SR Croatia, on December 2, 1970, sent a letter to Mitja Ribičič, president of the Federal Government, accusing intelligence operative Đuro Pintarić from the Yugoslav military mission in Berlin of spreading insinuations that the Croatian leadership was in collusion with emigrant leader Dr. Branko Jelić, who had allegedly established contacts with Moscow. The perspective of these 'contacts' would be an independent Croatia, under communist rule, from Trieste to the Drina, within the Soviet bloc and with Soviet-type socialism. In return, the USSR would gain military bases in Mostar and near Rijeka. The source of these claims was Jelić's assistant, Velimir Tomulić, actually an agent of the Yugoslav intelligence service," writes Večernji list.

These claims by Večernji list are not in line with the claims of Božo Vukušić, a publicist who dealt with the Croatian emigration for decades. He writes that Tomulić is a CIA agent. For other connoisseurs of the situation, Tomulić was far above the intelligence milieu. On several occasions, he confirmed in the media the cooperation between Dr. Jelić and the Russians.

The portal of the Croatian Cultural Council reminded of those days in May 2010: "There are signs that the late Dr. Branko Jelić received not only confidential information from Zagreb but also accepted many suggestions for political moves, including his new political course of seeking ties with one of the Eastern European communist countries (Warsaw Pact, op.a.) and through it with the 'Soviet Union'." "Express" in an article from June 2, 2015, claims: "Russia, by the way, cooperated with the Croatian emigration in the '70s and '80s, even with the truly extreme ones. Dr. Branko Jelić was considered a collaborator of Soviet services, and Tito was quite afraid of a Russian strike supported by separatist-minded Croatian organizations – he saw great danger there." Dr. Branko Jelić, prompted by the events of the Croatian Spring, wrote an open letter to Vladimir Bakarić, then the most powerful Croatian politician, with several questions.

The last in the series was whether he could "deny that a delegation of Croatian communists went to Sofia to seek help from the Bulgarians and that they went with them to Moscow to seek the restoration of the Independent State of Croatia?"

On May 5, 1971, Branko Jelić barely survived an assassination attempt in West Berlin, with more than a hundred wounds from a landmine placed under the threshold of his medical practice. Jelić died a year later, in May 1972, from the consequences of his injuries. Nine years ago, the portal of the Croatian Cultural Council confirmed "the secret contacts of Dr. Branko Jelić with certain diplomatic circles of the Eastern communist bloc and his open approach to Moscow through the Croatian state."

Years later, numerous authors and witnesses have confirmed this Russian and Croatian emigrant connection. Tomislav Krolo published the book "Croatian Political Emigrant 1941-1991." He writes about the situation in HNO after Branko Jelić's death. Describing the beginning of HNO's activities, the author states that Branko Jelić took the initiative to talk with representatives of the USSR about establishing an independent and neutral Croatia... Krol claims that this initiative by Jelić resonated within the Croatian emigration, and according to him, Velimir Tomulić, the editor-in-chief of the newspaper Hrvatska država, founded the League of Communists of Croatia in West Germany in 1971 and launched the newspaper Socijalistička Hrvatska.

Božo Vukušić, in his book "Udba's Secret War," confirms that Tomulić, with Tomo Sedlo, "founded the foreign section of the League of Communists of Croatia. The organization launched the newspaper 'Socijalistička Hrvatska.' This newspaper promoted pro-Soviet socialism, and since the West generously helped Yugoslavia, 'Socijalistička Hrvatska' wrote that Croats should seek help and alliance in the East, as Moscow was interested in weakening Yugoslavia and destroying Titoism," wrote Vukušić and confirmed Dr. Jelić's pro-Russian policy: "The first major surprise, and then confusion and polemics, was caused in the Croatian diaspora by the newspaper 'Hrvatska država,' when the hitherto fierce anti-communist Dr. Branko Jelić announced his alleged contacts with official representatives of the Soviet Union, or the Warsaw Pact." writes Vukušić.

Nothing has changed. Today, Dragan Čović is a regular visitor to the Russian ambassador and will certainly be more favored than Dodik, who has recently been thrown into the fire for accepting Bosnia and Herzegovina's path to NATO. Aleksandar Vučić, who pushed him down that path, spoke Chinese last night. Without translation. Just in case.