By: Rasim BELKO
Montenegro will, now with certainty, get a new government, led by coalitions that were in opposition before the elections. The departure of the pro-Western government led by President Milo Đukanović could be the initial spark of a new, perhaps the most dangerous, hotspot in the Balkans.
The events preceding the elections and the post-election developments themselves are a fairly clear litmus test of what awaits us.
Although many assess that the outgoing government made a mistake with the Law on Freedom of Religion, uniting all its opponents, no one beyond a reasonable doubt can claim that the election results are not the consequence of a failed coup, orchestrated by Serbian and Russian intelligence agents.
Two Russian intelligence agents, convicted in absentia, are still at large. And the leader of the Democratic Front, Andrija Mandić, is also still at large.
On the other hand, the Serbian Orthodox Church, which was certainly not immune to these intelligence anti-Montenegrin activities, started mass gatherings after the adoption of the Law on Freedom of Religion.
We could hear different messages from those gatherings, none of which spoke of a civic and democratic Montenegro.
In the post-election period, there is much talk about democracy and civic Montenegro. And the third largest ethnic group in Montenegro is living these days in fear and worry about how to survive the outbursts of hatred expressed by followers of Serbian politics and the Serbian church in Montenegro.
Therefore, although Montenegro is in the NATO alliance and although that alliance represents a synonym for stability and security, there are more than 50,000 people in Montenegro living in fear. NATO has not even commented. True, during the time of the processions and the tense atmosphere, the Alliance sent hybrid warfare units to Montenegro. This in itself indicates that they were aware of the danger to this country and the entire region.
Why are they silent today when the danger is manifold, and the sources of danger are coming to power. Are they sure they will have enough time for an express response? They are not, and cannot be. NATO has entered an offside position on the Montenegrin issue and for now is in a situation where it can only score an invalid goal.
Zdravko Krivokapić, Dritan Abazović, and Aleksa Bečić claim they will not change Montenegro's foreign policy course. How much truth there is in this is shown by the messages of the fourth partner, Amfilohije Radović, on whose wings the aforementioned coalition partners flew to power.
"Whoever is against Russia, may God make flesh fall off them, cursed be they thrice and three thousand times," Amfilohije Radović once proclaimed, with the first man of the Democratic Front, Andrija Mandić, standing behind him.
All of this indicates that Amfilohije and the Serbian Orthodox Church were the main drivers and engines of the opposition structures, which finally managed to gain power.
And when the government is formed, we will see the true face of these structures. We saw their other side in Pljevlja with messages about Montenegro.
The NATO alliance is obliged to care for its members, especially those who joined the Alliance in the vicinity of Russia and its satellites. NATO has both the strength and the mechanisms, the only question is whether they see the threat looming over their Balkan ally.
Krivokapić is already announcing that in certain concepts and directions of foreign policy, the government he leads in Montenegro will lean on Serbia. And that means precisely what NATO has been trying to prevent.
If they do not want Russian aircraft carriers and missile systems to appear on the Adriatic Sea, it is high time to show that Montenegro did not risk entering the Alliance in vain.
NATO has already seen from the example of Turkey how much it costs to play with influence and how difficult it is to regain that influence. Because, Turkey today plays with both Russia and the USA, as well as with NATO itself.
It is time for NATO to get out of the Montenegrin offside and start acting in accordance with its mission.
Otherwise, membership in the largest military alliance will become an end in itself.
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