Red line for 2026 - Every coalition with SDP is dangerous for the state of Bosnia and prolonged treason!

By: Rasim Belko

If anything has been precisely stated in this political circus we are living in Bosnia and Herzegovina, it is that "changes" have come – and left behind a wasteland.

The Troika, that internationally flavored mix of conceited reformists, salon liberals, and repainted revolutionaries, is today merely a symbol of political deception with a "Made in USA" guarantee. A project conceived as hope has become a malignant experiment. And when an experiment fails, you don't blame the mouse – you blame the laboratory. And, of course, the laboratory rats with party cards.

Let's go in order – from the end. The current state of government in BiH does not resemble any kind of government. It resembles an improvised sketch of bad theater where the scriptwriters have gone home, and the actors have forgotten their lines. Neither at the FBiH level nor at the state level is there coherence, vision, or responsibility. All that exists is sell-offs, silence, and collective amnesia.

The Troika, led by the "reformers" from NiP and Our Party, has proven to be the most expensive training ground for political novices. NiP, an exhausted and trampled party shadowed by corruption and labeled as connected to a super-cartel, politically hit rock bottom when it tried to oust Dodik from power – and ended up as the mascot of his legitimacy. Today, no one serious mentions NiP except when recounting anecdotes about how the megaphone of change became the echo of catastrophe.

Our Party? First, they were idealists, then they became an illustration. Today, they are a political footnote with the burden of court proceedings and the candidacy of a person who speaks more in slogans than in sentences. If they cross the census in 2026, it will be a sign that the electorate has a serious problem with memory – or an even more serious one with criteria.

But SDP, on the other hand. A party that carries "social democracy" in its name, but in practice distributes political masochism in a coalition package. Their base endured 2022 only because the voters were tired of SDA – not because they believed in SDP. And instead of using that credit for consolidation and state-level seriousness, SDP chose – to be a Trojan horse. Or more precisely: a horse in the service of Schmidt's stable.

And while Konaković rushed to become a foreign policy attraction, and Ćudić played the political Sybil, SDP calmly and calculatedly pulled the strings. They handed over the Indirect Taxation Authority to Dodik, enabled Schmidt's violation of the Rules of Procedure, feigned silence when they should have roared, and bet everything on people forgetting who was actually managing the processes. They haven't forgotten – or at least they shouldn't.

Mijatović's paradox – a person who is simultaneously a symbol of "multi-ethnic" enthusiasm and the driving force behind the disintegration of the pro-Bosnian bloc – is SDP's political business card. Whoever appointed him as Deputy Prime Minister of the Federation can no longer invoke patriotism, unless we redefine patriotism as an act of surrender.

Even what is good in the country is not good because of SDP. Key projects go to Herzegovina? It's not a coincidence. Dragan Čović and his business galaxy reign there, and SDP is merely a political agency for implementing interests that have as much to do with the state of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a reality show has to do with ethics. Novalić might have made mistakes due to misjudgment in business, Nikšić is bad because he is ordered to be.

Therefore, if anyone in the opposition thinks they can criticize the government while forgetting SDP – they should give up immediately. Because everything that is happening today – from legal violence to political capitulation – is being carried out under the banner of SDP's dominance. NS and NiP are useful idiots. SDP is the engineer.

And that is why there should be no calculation with SDP!

Every time SDP led something called an alliance – the state of Bosnia and Herzegovina was the loser. This is not pessimism – it is chronology. A historical fact that you cannot erase.

Let's recall the Alliance for Change – that mythical construct from the early 2000s. Great expectations, big plans, then monumental disappointment. Instead of strengthening the state, there was its institutional collapse. The result? The emigration of young people from the country, on whom they later built campaigns, and the weakening of trust in every subsequent attempt at a "civic alternative."

Then, the platform era – that marvel of political engineering that, from 2010 to 2014, produced the SDP-SDA coalition. What was the end of that experiment? Burning institutions, smashed shop windows, anger in the streets. That was the first explosion of mass loss of trust in the political system after the war.

SDP does not know how to build stability. They know how to create a facade of power, how to distribute the narrative of "rational solutions," how to buy time while partners like Čović and Dodik build their positions. In every variant of SDP dominance – whether they are the main players or a screen – the state regresses. Not because they are incapable, but because they are willing to agree to anything – under the weight of conformism and profit.

2022 was not revived thanks to the people, the program, or principles. They were revived thanks to the Murphy-Schmidt project, the most direct influence of international centers of power from Dayton to today. SDP has become a symbol of obedience, a legalized service for implementing others' interests with a smile and a tie. They did not win – they were chosen, like the most suitable contractor is chosen. Unfortunately, for demolition work on the state.

And therein lies the crucial warning for the post-election year 2026: any policy, any party, any leader who enables SDP a new coalition, new government, new "alliance" after those elections – must know that they are not contributing to stability, but prolonging the political life of treason. There is no more room for illusions.

Every new government with them means only one thing: another nail in the coffin of Bosnia and Herzegovina's statehood. Another chapter in which treason is called "compromise," and the disappearance of sovereignty is called the "European path."

Because Bosnia and Herzegovina can survive without many things – but it cannot survive another alliance with SDP.